Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 14.232787 15.948345 17.807434 19.974725 22.435685 25.147555 28.368183
2025-05-25 11.832383 14.151710 16.850486 20.234672 24.381508 29.318226 35.671759
2025-06-01 10.040361 12.717425 16.035081 20.476640 26.309079 33.764280 44.107240
2025-06-08 8.643831 11.530703 15.319122 20.705341 28.248326 38.557419 53.922112
2025-06-15 7.745511 10.841222 15.126533 21.574924 31.176865 45.175100 67.551766
2025-06-22 6.756183 9.870009 14.391354 21.553015 32.831598 50.283615 80.068956
2025-06-29 5.853992 8.887388 13.486128 21.118967 33.775259 54.473490 92.041493
2025-07-06 5.166579 8.127817 12.800696 20.903734 35.009970 59.329599 106.169655
2025-07-13 4.778374 7.782866 12.714029 21.643301 37.961036 67.627453 128.321994
2025-07-20 4.441570 7.473104 12.635610 22.374660 41.015510 76.681995 154.067588
2025-07-27 4.088251 7.085849 12.366258 22.712047 43.386532 84.888379 180.098717
2025-08-03 3.699877 6.585559 11.825891 22.451136 44.535223 90.865042 202.796611
2025-08-10 3.344553 6.110617 11.286602 22.144113 45.613817 97.082756 228.138957
2025-08-17 3.037241 5.688653 10.794034 21.858475 46.699332 103.577720 256.083229
2025-08-24 2.782901 5.338400 10.396929 21.712843 48.077594 111.067126 288.857576
2025-08-31 2.568128 5.040979 10.068102 21.664930 49.679779 119.469018 326.752281
2025-09-07 2.443173 4.911593 10.070985 22.362708 53.211239 133.549356 385.572823
2025-09-14 2.258092 4.634134 9.721369 22.186320 54.533856 142.144574 430.706567
2025-09-21 2.064446 4.316418 9.244244 21.631206 54.775848 147.847059 468.591147
2025-09-28 1.910396 4.068442 8.893636 21.334668 55.657984 155.602242 516.204243
2025-10-05 1.837135 3.993430 8.932278 22.034924 59.454256 173.004967 604.841210
2025-10-12 1.768765 3.921763 8.969632 22.739214 63.418056 191.994031 707.310025
2025-10-19 1.682628 3.798834 8.867622 23.052329 66.290332 208.236701 805.870660